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If you just do very crude pattern matching on the first chart he shows - it is warped by the (intentional?) way he drew orange overlay lines.

The slope in 2024 and 2025 (the data that we already have) is much lower than the orange line drawn.

Following the real visual trend, the next peak would be maybe another 5-10 years in the future. (Not that this is a good way to predict the future, as also stated in the article, "not very scientific").





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