Ok, now I'm 100% certain that the price of lithium is going to skyrocket. There isn't that much of the stuff pulled out of the ground every year, and most of it goes to small battery applications - not cars like the Tesla. Toyota's electric cars have purposefully stayed away from lithium because they knew that there was not enough lithium for Toyota sized production.
Unfortunately lithium is not traded on any futures market that I know of, and I know of no publicly traded stock on any exchange that solely represents lithium mining interests.
Does anyone know how I can buy bulk ($25k+) lithium? I'd prefer not to buy it from a science supply store. I'm getting a quote from http://www.baotou-rareearth.com/ right now, but ideally there would be an ETF that tracks the price for me.
Can I give a strong suggestion that news stories not be submitted from obviously-biased sources? The headline should be the same as what the reliably-green nytimes asked a few months ago:
The Tesla business model, to me, seems hopeless. Look: There's nothing special about running vehicles by battery. They were doing it many decades ago. Every big factory and every golf course has numerous electric vehicles. In the proper context, they're just great.
The technology is well-established, but thus far none of the manufacturers thought it wise to move from factory to highway. I'm guessing there are some good reasons, among which is the fact that diesel cars are usually more efficient...
...because nothing has ever been accomplished by small teams of smart people working against the good reasons of behemoths, right?
I mean, you do realize you just made that comment on a site whose reason for existence is to promote and recruit people to the idea of 3 people with 4 months and 5k each?
“fact that diesel cars are usually more efficient...”
is true if compared to a gasoline combustion engine. But there is no simple comparison on efficiency between the 2 different technology battery vs gasoline.
My take is the other way. Loan several billion dollar to any of the big three is not doing much. The cash burn rate they have will eat the money quickly and just to survive. Since the first oil crises in the ‘70 any of the Detroit companies had lots of time to spend R&D money on alternative power train solutions. They decided not to do a lot for multibillion dollar revenue companies other than building bigger and bigger SUVs. Japanese car manufacture by now have some lead in hybrid and battery technology and a small company Tesla has in my opinion a better chance to compete in this segment.
They also plan on being profitable by mid-year. I wonder if GM, Ford, or Chrysler could say the same? At least the Government has a good chance of their loan to Tesla being repaid!
Didn't it just come out that their product costing was completely off-base and every car was being sold at a loss. This company has never impressed me and they just don't seem to have the leadership to ever become viable. They've already burned through lots of money, promising the whole time that profitability is right around the corner.
This model isn't going to be out until 2011, by then, GM and Toyota will likely have more commercially viable PHEV models available to the public. I just don't see Tesla getting past a niche market. ANd getting past that point should be the expectation given the size of this loan.
Toyota I can see having more commercially viable PHEV models, but have you paid attention to any NA automaker's adverts recently? They haven't even noticed that they're in a burning house carrying a crate of gunpowder. I mean watch the commercial for the new Ford F-150, it has steps. Yes their selling feature right now is steps. It's mentally retarded, they completely gloss over the fact they've increased the carrying and towing capacity for the vehicle because they've got steps.
They even say something like 'with the extra capacity, you'll need those steps more than ever' and I'm just trying to think through the logic there, because whenever I've seen a truck fully loaded it's been done by a fork lift or a bobcat for when we filled the sucker full of sand... it had a purpose, I swear! And it wasn't sandcastles neither.
My point is, is that everybody is watching gas prices to see when they spike up again. The price is quite nice here in Canada, but we're all waiting for it to double and be at the same price it was last summer. What no NA automaker seems to realise is that the market has completely changed, right now almost everyone is wanting fuel efficiency because everyone's afraid they're going to be spending a fortune commuting.
they completely gloss over the fact they've increased the carrying and towing capacity for the vehicle because they've got steps
Sadly, this might just be because they know their market and they know that most people who buy the F-150 aren't using it to tow stuff, but are the type who are more likely to buy it because it has shiny steps.
You're partly right: I think it's because all the vehicles in its class have roughly the same capability, but the steps can differentiate the F150 from the competition. Around here any truck sold from dealer inventory automatically comes with a tow package and will at least occasionally be used to tow something. Even my Xterra is sometimes used to tow a trailer.
People are still buying big trucks: I just bought my wife a used F250 with 7.3L diesel and it's her daily ride!
Tesla's plan to be profitable depends on getting the model S built but they can't build the model S unless they get government money. The government won't give them the money unless they can prove viability. Sounds like this won't be resolved for a while.
As a side note, I dislike the term "government money," since it makes it easy to forget the the money ultimately comes not from the government but from the people. "Taxpayer money", on the other hand, has a pejorative connotation, since it is often used derisively. Maybe "public money"?
>There's no such thing as "public" money; it always comes from private pockets and ends up in (different) private pockets.
That is just a play on words. Of course individuals are "private"; it's in their capacity as taxpayers (rather than volitional payers) that they collectively constitute the public. "Public" and "private" are terms from economics with established meanings.
>I can't see what's pejorative about taxpayer money. That's whom it comes from.
seigniorage is also referred to as an inflation tax [...] the "inflation tax" is paid by those who hold the existing currency, which results from their holdings of currency becoming devalued through inflation because of the introduction of additional money supply.
That's a fair point to make in relation to a loan that must be repaid. But actual government debt has to be backed by a claim to someone's labour and that someone is the tax payer. If there is no such backing all that fiat money will quickly lose its value.
The major problem with electric cars is building an infrastructure for them. First, they can run around 100-150km (60 - 100miles) and after this they must recharge for a day or so. I.e. they are pretty useless on longer trips.
In Denmark, Dong Energy (which is Denmark's biggest energy company) has signed an agreement with Better Place to build electric "gas stations" where one can drive in and get a fresh battery. I think Israel also has an agreement. And with such gas stations, electric cars could be a very fine choice since they are cheaper (pr. km) and a lot more environment friendly.
And Teslas are pretty hot, so it would probably be a very good investment by the US gov.
Tesla Roadster
Range: About 220 miles (based on EPA combined city/highway cycle)
Full Charge: About 3.5 hours using the Tesla Motors High Power Connector.
One of the better suggestions I have heard was an all electric car where you could use an external generator for long trips. 95+% of the time you don't need and save a lot of weight over a hybrid but it but it's still an option for long trips and you could even add extra storage space.
One of the better suggestions I have heard was an all electric car where you could use an external generator for long trips. 95+% of the time you don't need and save a lot of weight over a hybrid...
Why is this better than a hybrid? Would the generator be powerful enough to provide enough electricity to operate the car? If so, I have a hard time seeing how you would save weight or how it would be more efficient, since you're going to have more steps in the process, each with more efficiency loss.
A 30hp generator would be sufficient to give a car essentially unlimited range, but it adds a few grand in cost, 4-500 lb's of weight and a host of mechanical issues. If you don't need it 95% of the time what's the value in dragging it around? If you can rent it for less than the cost of ownership what's the value in renting it?
According to the map, over half of the state has no stations within 100 miles. Moreover, between the LA basin and the SF bay area, the stations are placed so they're only useful for folks staying at the station or just going to the next station.
It wasn't presented as "a start". It was presented as "all over the state" in response to someone who asked about coverage.
Honesty matters if for no other reason than dishonesty destroys credibility. If they're misrepresenting coverage, what else is other than as advertised?
California is a big state. If half of the state has no stations within 100 miles, that's a great start, considering the geography to be covered. The Tesla sedan goes 220 miles per charge.
Unfortunately lithium is not traded on any futures market that I know of, and I know of no publicly traded stock on any exchange that solely represents lithium mining interests.
Does anyone know how I can buy bulk ($25k+) lithium? I'd prefer not to buy it from a science supply store. I'm getting a quote from http://www.baotou-rareearth.com/ right now, but ideally there would be an ETF that tracks the price for me.