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Strictly wrong:

- a casino is a random game

- stock market is a game of incomplete informatoin

The one cant related to the other by whatever equation.





The series of a shuffle of a 6-deck shoe is not "incomplete information"?

Taleb calls it the Ludic Fallacy (game fallacy)

The statistics of games are understandable, defined and easy to work with.

The statistics of markets, as Soros spent his career investigating, are filled with feedback loops, and as Taleb investigated, fat tails.




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